Fish and Wildlife Service’s historical hunting license data (U.S. Hunting licenses We used state hunting license numbers for 2018 from the U.S. Property crime Data on property crime counts in 2018 were drawn from Table 5 of the Crime in the United States tables (Federal Bureau of Investigation, 2019). See the survey report for additional information on how these values were calculated. ![]() This model used data from 2014 to 2019 collected by the Gun Violence Archive (undated-b). Mass shootings The mass shooting outcome is a model-based estimate of the average number of shooting incidents per year in which four or more people (including possibly the shooter) were shot at the same general location and time. Firearm suicides, firearm homicides, accidental firearm deaths, and state populations State counts for these variables were calculated from 2018 vital statistics data provided through CDC's WONDER data system ( CDC, undated). We list a state as having a law if the state currently has a law similar to one we asked survey respondents to rate, even when the currently implemented law differs in some respects. Here we highlight a few key assumptions: State laws Information on state laws, current as of January 1, 2021, was drawn from the RAND State Firearm Law Database. The more laws you turn on or off, the more speculative the results will be.ĭetailed information on data sources and methods for this interactive tool is available in the survey report. ![]() You'll see a comparison between experts who favor more-permissive policies for gun use and access and those who favor more-restrictive policies. Toggle laws on or off in all statesĮxplore state and nationwide effects of gun policies, as predicted by policy experts, by turning laws "on" (enacting them in all states) or "off" (repealing them in states where they are currently in place). This tool allows you to explore where these experts agree and disagree about the effects of gun policies and what combinations of laws might be satisfactory to all sides.įor more information on the survey participants, design, and findings, see the related research report. According to their responses, the experts fell into two groups: those who favor more-restrictive gun policies and those who favor more-permissive ones. RAND surveyed experts-specifically, academic researchers, commentary writers, congressional analysts, and individuals nominated by professional or advocacy organizations with an interest in gun policy-who have diverse views on how gun policies might affect outcomes, such as property crime, suicide, and participation in hunting and sport shooting. This means that experts’ informed judgments about such effects are an especially important influence on gun policy decisions. ![]() Scientific research on the effects of gun policies is sparse and often inconclusive. Gun Policy Expert-Opinion Tool Comparing Insights on the Potential Effects of Policy Changes
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